COVID-19 Health Care Supply Chain Solutions: PPE Forecasting

The University of Florida Health created their own PPE calculator allowing them to calculate current demand and forecast future worst case scenario needs. This free model uses Sg2 data to better estimate the downstream demand for PPE and workforce needs incorporating timing and impacts of social distancing in individual markets using the specific beta in the SIR model.

Supply chain applications within the UF Health calculator include a modified HHS model and incorporates Sg2 average daily census output in weeks/days. Ratios for patient input are modified depending on individual hospital labor needs and PPE assumptions per role per shift, and auto calculates daily PPE demand based on patient classifications. This model can be applied to any PPE with multiple data sources such as order quantities allocated from distributors to determine what is needed several weeks out and can be adjusted to meet any size facility and specific supply nuances, such as distribution strategy and PPE conservation efforts.

Takeaway Tools

Download the Sg2 Surge Demand Calculator

Download HHS Model using Sg2 Calculations

Download PPE Forecasting - Isolation Gown Example

 

 

Access the COVID-19 Education Playlist on YouTube

 

 


 

The American Hospital Association (AHA) and AHRMM are not responsible for any errors or omissions, or for the results obtained from the use of the specifications and guidance provided above (the Information). The Information was obtained from suppliers and other third parties, and was not developed by AHRMM and AHA. The AHA and AHRMM are providing the Information for informational purposes. Any use of the Information is at the user’s own risk. The AHA and AHRMM are not health care providers, and they do not actively monitor or approve any Information on this site and are not responsible or liable for verifying the accuracy of the Information. The AHA and AHRMM provide this Information and these materials on an “as is” basis, with no representations or warranties of any kind, express or implied, including with respect to accuracy, completeness, quality, non-infringement, merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose. AHA and its affiliates, will not be liable for any damages of any kind arising from the use of, or reliance on, any Information made available to you by AHA and AHRMM.

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